Pearl Harbor: Intelligence, psychology and command failure

The Secrecy of Pearl Harbor

Closing the Book on Pearl Harbor

Recent attempts to resuscitate well-worn conspiracy theories concerning the Pearl Harbor attack are based on selective reading of documentary evidence and ignore conclusive, recently declassified materials which show that JN-25 and other Japanese naval codes were not being read by U. S. Navy codebreakers prior to the Japanese attack.

Probabilistic Warnings in National Security Crises: Pearl Harbor Revisited

Imagine a situation where a group of adversaries is preparing an attack on the United States or U.S. interests. An intelligence analyst has observed some signals, but the situation is rapidly changing. The analyst faces the decision to alert a principal decision maker that an attack is imminent, or to wait until more is known about the situation. This warning decision is based on the analyst's ...

Evolutionary psychology and intelligence research.

This article seeks to unify two subfields of psychology that have hitherto stood separately: evolutionary psychology and intelligence research/differential psychology. I suggest that general intelligence may simultaneously be an evolved adaptation and an individual-difference variable. Tooby and Cosmides's (1990a) notion of random quantitative variation on a monomorphic design allows us to inco...

Cognitive psychology and artificial intelligence

To improve cooperation between psychology of thinking and artificial intelligence, it could be useful to elucidate the present theoretical approaches to thinking. The latter have also been affected by cybernetics and computer science (informational approaches, problem space, heuristics computer simulation, frames and scripts). More recently, cognitive psychology has become crystallized, concent...